THERE IS NOW A 50-50 CHANCE THE GLOBE WILL EXCEED 1.5C BY 2026
According to a new report, between now and 2026, it is almost certain that we will see a new warmest year on record, and compared to the last five years, the chances of global temperatures temporarily exceeding the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement have risen five-fold. This week, the World Meteorological Organization and the UK Met Office released their latest Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update — a yearly report that examines the near-term climate forecast for the globe, looking ahead for the next five years. The report goes on to note, from 2022-2026, yearly global average temperatures are predicted to be between 1.1 ° C and 1.7 ° C. Based on that, it is almost certain (93 per cent chance) that the entire five-year period will be warmer than the previous five years (2017-2021). There is also a 93 per cent chance that at least one year in that period will replace 2016 as the warmest year on record. (WMO) In addition, the forecast includes a nearly 50:50 chance that the annual g